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Emerging market currencies may not see repeat of summer sell-off

Strong US jobs data may force the Fed to cut bond purchases, but emerging markets currencies should be able to avoid big falls

Friday’s strong US jobs data has revived forecasts for the Federal Reserve to cut its bond purchases as soon as December, a prospect that should cause jitters for investors in emerging markets. But some say they’re not worried.

Currencies ranging from the Brazilian real to the Indian rupee dropped more than 1% after the jobs report, but recovered from most of those losses on Friday. More recently, these currencies were modestly weaker on Monday, with the Mexican peso off 0.5% at MXN13.2341 to the dollar.

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