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French retrench in a year of undue caution

Volumes are likely to have slumped by more than 50% after 2000's TMT bonanza

Over the past 12 months, the French M&A market has epitomised the challenges facing corporate Europe. Having been at the forefront of continental consolidation for the past three years, French bankers look back on 2001 as a year of retrenchment, fear and hawkish regulation. When the final deal figures are collected, they are likely to show a slump in volumes of over 50%.

This decline should be placed firmly in context. The $262bn (€288bn) of transactions involving French companies announced in 2000 were mainly accounted for by the TMT sector. The €40bn acquisition of Orange by France Télécom and the $34bn all-share purchase of Seagram by Vivendi were exceptional deals executed in an exceptional climate.

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