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Hoping for the best or cooking the books?

There is debate in the US over the correct way to measure state pension liabilities

There is still substantial debate in the US over the correct way to measure state pension liabilities. Some economists prefer to use a “risk-free rate”, in effect assuming their assets return no more than US Treasury bonds.

Using this method, a paper by Joshua Rauh of Northwestern University in Illinois, and Robert Novy-Marx of the University of Rochester in New York state, calculated the US total public pension liability at $3 trillion.

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