Asset Management

What’s really to blame for China’s slowdown

It is structurally low levels of domestic consumption, not trade wars, that are chiefly behind the country’s troubles

Rice field paintings in Hangzhou in China's Zhejiang Province
Rice field paintings in Hangzhou in China's Zhejiang Province Photo: Getty Images

In March 2007, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao warned his colleagues at the National People’s Congress that “the biggest problem with China’s economy is that the growth is unstable, unbalanced, uncoordinated, and unsustainable”. China is now dealing with the consequences.

The recent trade ructions, while unhelpful, are not the main explanation for China’s ongoing slowdown. The latest figures show gross domestic product growing about 6.5% this year, down from more than 14% in 2007.

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